CIb-Café #17 The CASCADE PolYCRISIS CORE MODEL

On Wednesday, March 11, 2026, Dr. Megan Shipman, Dr. Michael Lawrence and Dr. Kasra Motlaghzadeh, all three fellows at Cascade Institute, Canada,, have presented their interesting work on a global CIB model: The Cascade Institute’s Polycrisis Core Model uses CIB analysis to model the interactions of 11 global systems to determine possible consistent scenarios for 2040. The model uses a novel “local-allowed” succession rule to identify realistic pathways from starting scenarios to a fully consistent and highly desirable future that they call the Hope Attractor. 

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